Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Otunnu to Wed!

Soko had the prescient to suggest that, if Otunnu picked a nubile Munyankole girl for a bride, his political fortunes would be greatly enhanced. A Mukiga is not far off! Good luck Mr. Olara Otunnu!
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Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Is Mao a Joker?


Norbert Mao (R) ki Walter Ochora guruku uniform me UPDF
http://newvision.co.ug/news_photos/1247046445mao.jpg

Mao seems to have been stung by being called a joker by Museveni. Talking about a fragile ego: Is he or is he not a joker?

Good judges of characters would say that Mao is full of himself. He takes himself seriously, and thinks he is the best thing for Uganda since the telegenic Princess Bagaya painted a human profile to the blood-soaked macabre nation of the man-eating Idi Amin.

In a discussion group someone once questioned Mao’s wisdom for his one-year stint at Yale when his constituency was experiencing horrendous pain in the LRA war. It was observed that, if Mao were serious about his quest for the presidency, one of his bets would have been to pursue with zeal the cause to end that war, whose origin was justified but had become senseless and directionless. This would have given him the credibility, even in the important South which hitherto had not given a hoot to what happened to the “Anyanyas,” other than that the costs of the war was draining the national coffer, and increasingly the image abroad. Well, he kind of was part of the latest fizzled peace process, but it was symbolically too late to shine the limelight on himself as a man who adroitly forced Museveni to the table.

When the NRM government was toying with turning their concentration camps into towns, Mao was in lockstep support of the notion. That was unacceptable, and Mao was told so in no uncertain terms.

Among other strange behaviors is Mao’s donning of military uniform and participating in Museveni’s pet militia exercise. He lamely has explained that he wanted to understand how Museveni has kept himself in power for this long. Yes, you have to know your opponent to have any chance against him, but this exercise was pure crock tactically. No wonder; Museveni has no respect for him.

Now, he says he is listing Museveni’s weaknesses. Wait a minute: Museveni and others do not publicly announce their listings but spring with attacks that put their opponents in weakened reactive modes.

Oranges and apples are different kinds of fruits. Mao wished Museveni had taken him and other jokers to the Mt. Elgon mudslides a la Clinton-Bush trip to Haiti. What?! And steal the limelight from Museveni? Look; even his joker of a Prime Minister had to hitch a ride in a rickety helicopter with the only photo opportunity prostrated in a hospital bed—an image of weakness.

Let us be brutally frank: Anybody from the North, especially Acoli, who aspires to the presidency now, must be either stupid or blinded by ambition. This does not mean things will not change, but this is a time for a collective self-reassessment, reconstituting, building and consolidating. Would a farmer be harvesting in December when he didn’t plant anything in the rainy season? In 2011 there is no time for jokers like Mao. Even if he has the tongue of lakwal (a bird) and can come up with great plans, so far he has not shown a championship pugilist instinct and the Northern stars are not aligned in an auspicious direction at this time. The main focus should be about getting rid of Museveni, the most dangerous man in the annals of our history.

Sunday, March 21, 2010

The Ghosts of Luweero

In a testosterone-loaded outburst, the handlebar mustachioed Intelligence Chief-cum-General Tinyefuza would “crush” Otunnu for resurrecting the controversial question that dogs memories of the Luweero war: Who [done] it? That is, who murdered civilians in the war theater? Was it Museveni in a tactical stoking of hatred of the government of the day? Was it Obote in retribution for or creating fear against collaborating with the bandits?

If all sides showed humility for the carnage of war in the area and not exploit their versions for political mileage, it would make sense to let by-gone be by-gone. What, however, motivated Otunnu in bringing the issue for finding the truth is the fact that his nemesis, Mheshimiwa Rais Museveni, in his perennial crowing as a victor, constantly blames Obote and his red party for the civilian deaths. UPC is not my favorite party and I am not as impressed as others are about Otunnu, but let us play fair with the truth. It will set us free! Besides, I don’t like the smell of a military man warning someone who could potentially become his boss. (Dream on, Soko—it is free, isn’t it?)

Letting by-gone be by-gone or reconciliation without outing the truths a la Mao is a recipe for future disaster. It is just shoving dirt under the mat. Who knows what kinds of bugs might eventually fester beneath?

Let us clean the house and exorcise the ghosts of Luweero once and for all. While we’re at it, questions also linger in the North about who did what to civilians. The Northern ghosts also need the truth so that they can rest in peace on Lututuro, Got Okaka, Agoro, or in Lapul of the Palaro people

Friday, March 19, 2010

Everything is Political

The Neanderthals perished because they each lived isolated from one another in the caves of Europe. Their basic stone tools did not improve beyond the rudimentary. When their cousins of the African Homo erectus discovered association with one another, they started carving more complex stone tools due to exchange of ideas. This association imperative developed in the psychic into inheritable instincts and became crucial for the survival of the species. Even to this day groups which have perfected the mechanics of association prosper. These mechanics are often political in nature.

So, in the Uganda milieu, the success of the Baganda, as a group, is unquestionable. The name Uganda comes from Buganda, the land area of the Baganda. The Baganda wear this position with pride and seeming arrogance that can draw fear and envy. Their power of numbers elicits fawning from the politicos. It is, therefore, not surprising that Buganda has, from the inception of the nation called Uganda, been the hotbed of political theatres from where all else emanate. The Northern LRA phenomenon was only a blip (however painful psychologically to the region) in the annals of Uganda history.

This brings us to the burning of the Kasubi tombs, the burial place of the Baganda Kings. This is sacred ground, a symbol of an illustrious past that the parties concerned wish to honor as they forge their future. Who did it, and why? There will be all kinds of conspiracy theories, but we may never find out who did it. The why is obvious: political effect. The perpetrator wanted an outcome.

http://www.monitor.co.ug/News/National/-/688334/882308/-/wjqv0n/-/index.html

As the nation gets her bearing and politicians clamor with affected long faces, a Mengo official warned them not to exploit the incident as they were falling all over themselves to shed tears with the Kabaka. But, however one spins it, the very act of the monarchists emotionally gathering at the scene is political. And, like moths attracted to light, you can’t fault politicians to smell opportunities. Had Museveni not gone, it would have been uncharacteristic. He may, however, regret for the rest of his life that he miscalculated and forced his way in, killing three royalists in the process.

Otunnu, God bless him, on the other hand, was pelted with stones, his car smashed, and was humiliatingly forced to speak a language he had no command of. Incidentally, this language demand is one of the unintended consequences which will have its own dark wings. One may surmise that the confrontational encounter confirms that Otunnu’s political instinct and judgment is wanting. His best overture to the Baganda would have been to start with the Baganda establishment officials, who are used to dealing with leeches, hyenas and lions of politics. The aversion he received does not augur well for his strategic aim at mending fences. There will be copycats throughout the Buganda territory.

Overall the holocaust of the tombs portends a “butterfly effect” that may cascade into unpredictable yet deterministic results. It is all political.

Wednesday, March 17, 2010

It Could Get Worse Before It Gets Better

*"The best leader is therefore the enlightened leader. The best ruler does not wield an ax but raises a lantern. Those who try to rule by fire are destroyed by fire. Those who rule by bringing light to others join with ever-increasing radiance.
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“An attack against you is an imbalance in the natural course, and you must apply as much vigor as necessary to restore balance.”
(Ming-Dao, 2006)

*If you are a coward, go back into your mother’s womb.
----Ancient Acoli Warrior

*Rwot, i neka ki nyero (Chief, you kill me with laughter!)
----Acoli aphorism


Things are heating up: The so-called development partners have tossed the gauntlet with a salvo to the EC: you are a spoilsport with the voter registration hanky-panky.
This touched off a raw nerve in the favorite son, the once head boy of the celebrated “new breed” of African leaders. Like a spoilt brat, he hyperventilated and declared or, rather, ordered: stick to developments in areas of your competence without tying them with governance. I know governance. Governance is my expertise.

Excuse me, Monsieur le President, just what is your understanding of good governance? There is more to it than artificial stability, important as it is. If we are to read you from how you have operated so far, we take it that you prefer to be, effectively, an absolute monarch. This is your default predisposition. All the grandiose posturing is just a means to an end: absolute and unadulterated power. This is sooooooo primitive and backward (your own favorite adjectives) by 21st century standard.

If the taxpayers of the development partners were aware of what they were propping, they would agitate to turn off the money faucet. So, beware, Mr. President. The Chinese might even shun you.

What is going on here? The man has been their agent of convenience. He was more ecstatic than the master when a Sudanese pharmaceutical factory was bombed by the Americans. He was rwot-i-neka-ki-nyero(chief, you kill me with laughter: butt-kissing in Acoli). The man was probably the go-between messenger in the process leading to the settlement in the Kaddafi-Lockerbie case when he made frequent trips to Tripoli. No African potentate could be heard louder across the Atlantic than President Yoweri Museveni. In Washington he was the toast of Black Congressional Caucus and white liberal lawmakers. Thanks, in parts, to the charm of the then long-serving ambassador and the well-paid African-American lobyist. These lawmakers were in his corner to approve the bill to forgive Uganda’s debt even as the Uganda president was purchasing for himself a 40 million-dollar jet with all the trimmings. Do the math: American taxpayers, in effect, bought the dictator a jet! Talk about the fleecing of America. Wait until the media hounds get a wind of this.

The question of immediacy for us is: will the sugar daddies, led by Washington, pull the rug if the dude doesn’t shape up? Chances are they won’t, and the man may or may not capitulate by threats alone. He may feel trapped in a corner like wild a dog. What are his options? Will he lash out like a cobra if you mess with its tail? By all indications, deep down, he is coward who could resort to nefarious and underhanded means to silence the opposition. The opposition should brace up for dark days ahead—days when the ancient Acoli warrior’s refrain warned: If you are a coward, go back into your mother’s womb!

As the night darkens before sunrise, the end of an era may be nigh yet so far away. This is the time for skillful actors. Rash, raw ambition only won’t cut it. In the end, the "butterfly effect," in the Chaos Theory may initiate sorting things out.

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Dr Besigye is the Man





http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kizza_Besigye
http://www.fdcuganda.org/Dr_Besigye.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/1191395.stm
http://observer.ug/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=6387:gloves-off-as-dr-besigye-confronts-police-in-hoima&catid=34:news&Itemid=59
http://www.besigye.blogspot.com/


His head spun. His legs quaked as the legendary stout, grotesque-looking Math teacher, Mr. Kiwanuka, glared at him. Forlornly he stood in front of the fearsome panel of the disciplinary committee of teachers. Mr. Kiwanuka asked what the boy would do if he were the dormitory prefect he had spurned and disobeyed. He responded that he would talk with the “culprit” about the issue of contention and try to resolve it before taking matters to the august body! The boy could see the mocking sneers. That was not a Catholic response. From then on it was all a blur, and he was sent to dig a road on campus, and felt humiliated as fellow students walked passed by. It was probably the wizened Frenchman, Bro. Leroux, on the committee who saved his ass from dismissal. Somehow the old goat always liked the little tyke’s chutzpa.

The story of the little boy is about taking a stand. If he knew what price he had to pay, it is doubtful whether he would have challenged the autocratic prefect. On the contrary and on a larger stage, Dr. Besigye knew what he was up against when he challenged the one-man rule of the NRM government he was part of. Even so, he never expected an American UN Congo official would fly to Kampala and fabricate his association with a rebel group. Neither did he expect that a British ambassador would visit him in prison and urge him to acquiesce to the accusations. So much for: Ugandans will decide for themselves! Apparently, these dudes couldn’t help themselves but corrupt the course of Uganda’s history as their ancestors have done since they brought their pale asses to the region.

[The] readiness to endure danger for the sake of principle is [the essence of] moral courage. It is action based on core values and awareness of the [attendant] risks [to person, family and friends] (Kidder, 2005). There are other Johnny-Come-Latelys, of course, but no one, in the present Uganda political class, has sacrificed more than Dr. Besigye. For our own sake, if we are serious about changing the narrative of this God forsaken country, we ought to reward the man with the presidency. He is the real McCoy! The now is a reflection of what the future will look like, and we can only build the future we want if we act on the now instead of leaving it to the often capricious gods.

Thursday, March 4, 2010

Going to Fight Mudslides


Museveni laying a wreath on the bodies of children killed by the huge landslide in Bududa district on Monday.
http://www.newvision.co.ug/D/8/12/711839/Museveni%20in%20Bududa

At least he said something sensible: that messing with nature has consequences. That was the Dr. Jekyll in him. The Mr. Hyde was the gangster in military fatigue with an assault rifle slung over his shoulder. What was that all about?

Mr. Museveni, the certified master of symbolism, was in the lands of the Bamasaba, joining in the mourning of the sad loss of lives due to the mudslides on the Mt. Elgon slopes. But, why was he armed as if going to battle? Reading the tea leaf, one might speculate that the recent loss to FDC in the recent by-election in the area has to do with it. It was a perverse attempt to scare the Bamasaba. These are a people whose fifteen year-olds have their foreskins chopped without anesthesia! Did he think a gun-toting crazy Munyankole was going to put the fear of God in them? He must be hallucinating.

10 Reasons Why Museveni Must Go

The shit changes but the flies stay the same
---Anonymous


Imagine you are in 2011 and the elections are over. Could you imagine five more years of the same man, Museveni, at the helm of the state? If you cringe, you are not alone.

Change is the basis of nature and human affairs. It is said to be the only constant. Ancient Chinese, in their wisdom, have codified the phenomenon of change in the I Ch’ing, the Book of Changes. For centuries the book has been used by rulers and commoners alike for divination. This is no different, in effect, from the African consulting spirit mediums although the practitioners have not revealed their arcane knowledge to the masses. Even if you don’t care about consulting the I Ch’ing as an oracle, it is a fascinating read with snippets of how to conduct oneself under various circumstances.

The present circumstances in Uganda call for change, long overdue. We cannot afford five more years of Museveni because of the following ten reasons:

1. Mr. Museveni has contradicted most of what he claimed motivated him to become a bandit in the bush and cost the lives of more than 300,000 in the Luweero Triangle.

2. Unlimited term in Uganda is equivalent to a life presidency because of the incumbent unfair advantage with state resources, including the coercive forces. Changing the constitution by bribing MPs was an act of treason and cynical disregard of the history of the country. Mr. Museveni is now the personification of the contemptuous Big-Man African politics.

3. Corruptions. Bribing MPs was an act of corruption. State-house scholarship is a form of corruption that favors a select group using state resources. Handing state moneys and vehicles to individuals is one way of bribing in daylight. Promising roads, water etc to groups instead of having national policies for such needs is a form of corruption. Having corrupt untouchables in government is a deliberate act of corruption. Is it any wonder that, from top to bottom, everyone tries to “eat” where he works contributing the high costs of doing business?

4. Lack or Poor Essential Services. Beggarly accepting World Bank/IMF term of Structural Adjustments has ruined the lives of millions. Millions, unlike the president’s daughter who can have the best German medical services in childbirth, can only do with unsanitary and ill-equipped dilapidated local hospitals. Roads, even those patched up for the CHOGM, have become death traps for motorists. Dependence on NGOs is not a sustainable way to run a government. The foreign NGOs should just pack up and leave so that people can use their heads to survive and prosper.

5. Police State. Uganda is a de facto militaristic police state. Venting citizen’s concerns by peaceful demonstration is one way of letting off steam. A wise, enlightened leader understands this and acts accordingly to realign himself with the Zeitgeist of the nation. To mow down demonstrators is an act of genocidal arrogance.

6. Lack of genuine press freedom. The press is not free if it can’t strive to peep through the opaque veil of machinations for self-perpetuation and abuse of power. There are still draconian colonial and Obote era laws in the books that punish journalists, who should be an independent estate but are sometimes compromised with “gifts.”

7. Tribalism. Mr. Museveni preaches non-sectarianism, but key posts in his government are filled with people from his region. Sooner or later the state-house scholarships will begin to skew what regions get the top jobs.

8. Opaque government. Citizens cannot have access to information on what the government plans to do with the expected oil revenues. Whose resource is it anyway? Those classified state-house budgets and military expenditures are causes for alarm and corruptions.

9. The Economy. The IMF structural adjustments have left millions in the dust without much chance of improving their lot. The World Bank’s directed fire sale of government-owned corporations has enriched a few but the effect has not trickled down. Mr. Museveni has played with all kinds of schemes to bring up the lot of the country, but nothing has made tangible change.

10. Twenty Four Years are more than enough. He is not going to do any better than he has already. All things point to the intention for the creation of a dynasty. That must be rejected by all means necessary. Change is the only option.



The Dictactor and Prospective successors: Minister, Missus Museveni, and Son, Muhoozi
Muhoozi eats big in PGB shake-up
[http://www.monitor.co.ug/News/National/-/688334/870110/-/wj3vwq/-/index.html